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the planning fallacy

the journal of Michael Werneburg

twenty-eight years and a million words

Toronto, 2018.03.04

Today, while pursuing one of my hobbies, I discovered something called the planning fallacy. I found it fascinating; I've often warned about this sort of error, I didn't know that it had a name. Yes, I'm the kind of nerd that stops what he's doing to think about project risk*. One of the most interesting findings was the term "authorization imperative", where someone with a vested interest in getting project approval is tasked with estimating the difficulty of and volume of the work involved.

*Hey, I'm every kind of nerd; the hobby was editing my version of Dungeons and Dragons, something I've been working on to expose my kid to things like, well, planning.

rand()m quote

In the wake of 9/11, we [in America] have made the decision as a society that we can never again create something in which we can take pride, for fear that someone will destroy it. Moreover, we must suppress any trace of individualism, lest someone have the desire to rise above the bland sameness that protects us. I have, alas, no idea how to recapture our courage.

—Anonymous post to boingboing.net, 2009